Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.030879 0.036251 0.042188 0.049221 0.057314 0.066318 0.077083
2025-04-20 0.023409 0.030530 0.039163 0.050341 0.064373 0.081339 0.103332
2025-04-27 0.018460 0.026412 0.036858 0.051460 0.071191 0.096754 0.132178
2025-05-04 0.014126 0.022002 0.033137 0.049805 0.073848 0.106941 0.155520
2025-05-11 0.011305 0.019018 0.030664 0.049193 0.077496 0.118556 0.181894
2025-05-18 0.008996 0.016270 0.027951 0.047610 0.079256 0.127399 0.205045
2025-05-25 0.007325 0.014175 0.025822 0.046465 0.081316 0.136659 0.229545
2025-06-01 0.006231 0.012834 0.024660 0.046626 0.085333 0.149191 0.260214
2025-06-08 0.005156 0.011293 0.022865 0.045361 0.086678 0.157385 0.284516
2025-06-15 0.004720 0.010903 0.023081 0.047694 0.094501 0.177096 0.329815
2025-06-22 0.004091 0.009983 0.022125 0.047656 0.097956 0.189506 0.363602
2025-06-29 0.003428 0.008848 0.020543 0.046137 0.098385 0.196459 0.388227
2025-07-06 0.002903 0.007931 0.019293 0.045169 0.099879 0.205737 0.418446
2025-07-13 0.002699 0.007742 0.019592 0.047505 0.108290 0.228919 0.476866
2025-07-20 0.002473 0.007449 0.019608 0.049223 0.115622 0.250710 0.534601
2025-07-27 0.002099 0.006681 0.018378 0.047947 0.116409 0.259558 0.567773
2025-08-03 0.001827 0.006125 0.017564 0.047507 0.118946 0.272157 0.609516
2025-08-10 0.001548 0.005480 0.016403 0.046046 0.118973 0.279472 0.641008
2025-08-17 0.001327 0.004954 0.015459 0.044969 0.119733 0.288373 0.676520
2025-08-24 0.001183 0.004638 0.015028 0.045142 0.123476 0.304097 0.727876
2025-08-31 0.001013 0.004186 0.014127 0.043922 0.123642 0.311804 0.762348
2025-09-07 0.000967 0.004161 0.014479 0.046191 0.132847 0.340970 0.846879
2025-09-14 0.000862 0.003891 0.014036 0.046156 0.136111 0.356577 0.901954